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Goldman’s Hidden AI Winners: 2026 Value Plays

Vlad

Published on November 28, 2025

AI is moving into a new phase. The first wave lifted the biggest tech names. The next wave may lift a different group: companies that use AI to boost productivity and profits. These firms are not always the headline makers. Many have lagged the market in the past few years. But their use of AI can cut costs, speed up work, and expand margins. That can make them strong value plays going into 2026.

This guide explains where these gains may come from, which industries are set to benefit, and what to watch in stock behavior. It is written in clear language. Any technical terms are explained along the way.

Why AI Productivity Matters

  • Productivity gains: When a company produces more with the same or fewer resources.
  • Margin expansion: When profit per dollar of sales rises because costs fall or processes become faster.
Chart showing rising stocks across banking retail transport and healthcare due to AI productivity
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Generative AI and “agentic” AI systems can automate routine tasks, summarize documents, write code, and make predictions. Independent research and company reports suggest productivity gains can range from 10% to 55% depending on the workflow. Even small gains can translate into higher profits at scale.

Banking and Insurance: Quiet Profit Machines

Banks and insurers process vast amounts of data and repeat the same tasks many times each day. This makes them ideal for AI.

Diagram of how AI boosts profits in banks retailers shippers and healthcare providers
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Example wins:

  • Headcount growth control: Some large banks already use AI to grow revenue without growing staff at the same pace. This lifts operating margins.
  • Digital employees: A few institutions report “AI agents” that write code, check payments, onboard clients, and reconcile accounts. These agents work 24/7 and handle high volumes.
  • Faster decisions: AI helps with fraud checks, credit scoring, underwriting, and collections. Faster, more accurate decisions reduce losses and raise customer satisfaction.

Insurance is seeing similar shifts. AI tools read long claim files, extract key facts, and pre-fill forms. Some firms now report very high revenue and profit per employee because AI handles more of the routine work.

Key idea: Banks and insurers with deep AI use may see steady margin gains as automation scales. This can be powerful even if revenue growth is modest.

Retail and E‑Commerce: From Search to Supply Chains

Retailers are using AI across the full journey.

  • Personalized shopping: AI improves on-site search and product suggestions.
  • Customer support: Chat tools answer simple questions and reduce wait times.
  • Supply chain and inventory: AI forecasts demand, plans stock levels, and reduces waste.
  • Labor efficiency: AI tools handle scheduling and store analytics so staff can focus on service.

Results reported in earnings calls and case studies include 10%–30% cost reductions in logistics, operations, and marketing. Retailers that apply AI broadly can turn low-margin businesses into healthier ones.

Transport and Logistics: Small Tweaks, Big Savings

Shipping and delivery depend on timing, routing, and asset use.

  • Route optimization: AI finds shorter or faster routes. This cuts fuel use and time.
  • Digital twins: A “digital twin” is a virtual copy of a company’s operations used to test “what if” scenarios. Firms can spot bottlenecks before they happen.
  • Cross‑border paperwork: AI reads and fills customs forms, reducing delays and fees.

Reported results include lower “empty miles,” fewer diversions, and tens of millions saved in fuel and downtime. Because transport margins are thin, these savings matter a lot.

Healthcare: Less Paper, More Care

Doctors spend much time on notes and forms. AI tools listen during visits and draft medical summaries. Scheduling bots book appointments. Revenue-cycle systems flag billing issues early.

  • Scribes and assistants: Voice tools reduce time spent on documentation.
  • Admin automation: Systems process forms and lab results faster with fewer errors.
  • Revenue protection: Analytics detect denied claims risk before submission.

Outcome: Physicians gain time with patients, while providers lift margins through fewer errors and faster throughput.

Restaurants: Automating the Front and Back

Fast‑service restaurants are adopting voice ordering, automated kiosks, and kitchen optimization.

  • Voice AI at drive‑thru: Fewer errors and faster service.
  • Kitchen automation: Better timing and prep reduces waste.
  • Labor optimization: Smoother scheduling reduces overtime and no‑shows.

Even a few percentage points of labor or food-cost savings can materially raise profit in low‑margin dining.

How to Read Stock Setups Simply

It helps to pair a business story with a basic chart check:

  • Trend: Are highs and lows rising over time?
  • 50‑day moving average: A simple line showing the average price over the last 50 days. Holding above it can signal strength.
  • Support and resistance: “Support” is a price area where buyers have stepped in before. “Resistance” is a zone where sellers have sold before. Breaks above resistance can suggest momentum.

This is not financial advice. It is a simple way to frame risk and timing for those who study charts.

Risks to Keep in Mind

  • Execution: Not every company will deploy AI well.
  • Imitation: As AI spreads, early advantages may fade.
  • Upfront costs: Training, tools, and change management can be expensive.
  • Cycles: If the economy slows, even efficient firms can face headwinds.

The Big Picture for 2026

The theme across banking, insurance, retail, transport, healthcare, and restaurants is the same: AI converts repeatable, data-heavy tasks into faster, cheaper workflows. That shifts profits upward even without huge revenue growth. Many of these firms underperformed in recent years, which is why they may be set up as value opportunities if AI-driven productivity continues to scale.

Readers who want to know more about Felix Prehn’s work with Goat Academy can explore the story behind Felix Prehn Goat Academy on the about page.