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Felix Prehn Explains the Silver Market Truth

Vlad

Published on March 25, 2026

Many people talk about silver as if one big event will suddenly send prices much higher. They often say the market is close to breaking. They claim paper trading has taken over. They point to supply stress and strong demand as proof that a major price jump must be near.

Felix Prehn takes a more careful view.

As the founder of Goat Academy, Felix Prehn teaches people how markets work in the real world. His view is simple. Silver may have strong long-term value, but many popular claims about the silver market are too extreme. That matters because extreme beliefs can lead regular investors to make poor decisions.

Felix Prehn explaining silver market analysis and investor risks
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One common misunderstanding is about silver held in COMEX vaults. COMEX is a large exchange where metal contracts are traded. Many people focus only on “registered” silver. Registered silver means metal that is ready to be delivered against a contract. But there is also “eligible” silver. Eligible silver is stored in the vault but not currently listed for delivery. This means low registered silver does show stress, but it does not always mean the whole system is about to fail.

Another common claim is that there are hundreds of paper ounces for every real ounce of silver. Paper silver usually means contracts, funds, or other financial products tied to the silver price. Felix Prehn argues that this number is often overstated. Many of these products do not require physical silver delivery. Some are simply financial agreements that settle in cash. This is an important difference because it changes how risk should be understood.

Chart showing silver market supply demand and price pressure
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He also explains that premiums in one country do not always prove that all prices elsewhere are fake. A premium means a product costs more in one market than another. This can happen because of local demand, supply limits, import rules, or other trade barriers. A high premium can signal stress, but it does not automatically prove price manipulation everywhere else.

Felix Prehn also points out that large institutional firms are often misunderstood. When a market maker holds a large silver position, that does not always mean it is making a bullish bet. A market maker is a firm that helps buyers and sellers trade by standing in the middle. It often earns money from the spread, which is the small gap between the buy price and the sell price. That means a large holding may reflect trading activity, not a simple view that silver will soar.

The long-term case for silver is still real. Silver is used in solar panels, electronics, electric vehicles, and medical devices. Industrial demand means silver has practical value beyond being a precious metal. But even here, Felix Prehn stresses patience. Strong demand does not always create an instant supply crisis. Markets can adjust. Companies can change contracts. Recycling can rise. Buyers can search for cheaper substitute materials if prices climb too far.

His main point is not that silver is a bad asset. It is that investors should avoid building their whole strategy around one dramatic outcome. A stressed market is not the same as a broken market. That difference matters.
Felix Prehn’s approach through Goat Academy is based on understanding probabilities, not chasing hype. For investors, that can be a much safer way to think about silver.